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esskay
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post #61  quote:

CNN numbers are as follows:

Ohio votes (97%)
(R) 2,702,479
(D) 2,574,487

Margin: 127,992

if 5,276,966 votes so far - 97%
then 5,440,171 = 100%
therefore 163,205 votes remain to be accounted for.

The conclusion is the same, however these numbers slightly favor Bush from a probability standpoint. Still probability has no actual bearing on reality. Possibility is where truth lies and indeed it is still possible with this scenario for Kerry to take the state.

Again: too close to call.


Old Post 11-03-2004 07:29 AM
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gaboman
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post #62  quote:

CNN have called Kerry for Michigan. 17 electoral votes there

It would be too trippy if they end up with 269 each

Though I figure Bush will end up with Nevada and New Mexico at least.

edit: CNN have also finally updated Washington and Minnesota.


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esskay
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post #63  quote:

In the unlikely event of a tie it goes to the Senate for a tie-breaking vote... and guess which party just took over the Senate.

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lickety_split
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post #64  quote:

Democrats?

You sure are up to date Sean Kelly...



Old Post 11-03-2004 07:41 AM
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esskay
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post #65  quote:

Wrong -

Republicans have the Senate majority now which means G.W. is President if he gets Ohio, OR in the event of a tie.


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post #66  quote:

Oops!


Excuse me I'm Canadian, eh?

How accurate is CNN?

BUSH 249

KERRY 242

Electoral Votes


Old Post 11-03-2004 07:46 AM
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schmiggens
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post #67  quote:

quote:
Sean Kelly said this in post #61 :
Ohio votes
The conclusion is the same, however these numbers slightly favor Bush from a probability standpoint. Still probability has no actual bearing on reality. Possibility is where truth lies and indeed it is still possible with this scenario for Kerry to take the state.


Is Ohio previously generally a Republic voting state?


Old Post 11-03-2004 07:47 AM
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post #68  quote:

I think last election Ohio was Republican, but this year with a nearly 50/50 split, it's impossible to predict based on last election's results.

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post #69  quote:

Welp, this isn't going to be finished tonight, so I'm going to bed. people are still voting in Ohio (if you can believe that!) and apparently there was some breakdown or other on equipment in Iowa and ballot sorters were sent home until the morning, so that count won't be coming in. So see y'all in the morning - hopefully we'll have final results by then.

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post #70  quote:

'Night

Kerry's just gotten Hawaii. 3 more points there.


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post #71  quote:

So it is very good

Old Post 11-03-2004 08:46 AM
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post #72  quote:

Well, it was obvious it'd turn out with Bush winning Ohio, but the ride is fun.

Old Post 11-03-2004 08:48 AM
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post #73  quote:

CNN just reported Bush's win for Nevada, so unless Ohio Democrats pull 150 thousand votes out of one of their orifices, it's over for Kerry.

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schmiggens
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post #74  quote:

It's not over till it's over.

PLEASE don't tell me it's over!


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post #75  quote:

Arnold Swarzeneger has come out and congratulated George W Bush on winning the election!! How can he do that? IT'S NOT OVER YET!

Old Post 11-03-2004 09:08 AM
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post #76  quote:

EDIT: Argh! Forget I said this, I was thinking Iowa!

Old Post 11-03-2004 09:10 AM
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post #77  quote:

Hehehe Fox haven't updated their site with the Nevada details yet... seems they're starting to take it a little slower now.

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schmiggens
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post #78  quote:

He can't concede. What sort of idiot runs for President and concedes?

Old Post 11-03-2004 09:13 AM
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post #79  quote:

Ah, he wont if the Ohio results aren't in yet.

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post #80  quote:

Bush claims to have won. He's getting ready to speak.

He wants to go now at 4:15am..they are confident they won.


All the votes are not counted yet, but BUSH seems to know he won, so I guess HE WON!

Goodnight all!


Old Post 11-03-2004 09:18 AM
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schmiggens
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post #81  quote:

Isn't that what he did last time, announced victory before it was official. Surely he can't get away with it AGAIN after all that Michael Moore has done?

Old Post 11-03-2004 09:21 AM
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post #82  quote:

Mr Moore did nothing but speak the truth.................................................... what?



I think it's a little silly to claim victory for yourself, but whatever. It's gonna happen eventually, I guess. I hope it turns out like Beijing getting excited and celebrating when they thought they had the 2000 Olympics, but it ended up going to Sydney... Man that was hilarious.


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schmiggens
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post #83  quote:

I would love that. If George W claimed victory and ended up losing.

Man, now you've got my hopes up ...


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post #84  quote:

Weird, it seems fox are reluctant to add Bush's points for Nevada. I've got a feeling they don't want to take back their Ohio result, thus putting their tally for Bush down, and making their "one vote for bush" headline grossly incorrect. They also don't want to add the Nevada votes without declairing Bush victorious.

Sucked in...


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post #85  quote:

The media is just trying to get viewers to stay up as long as possible and wake up ass early to watch their continuing coverage. This thing could have been wrapped up hours ago.

-HECK!


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Crazie
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post #86  quote:

Heh anyone checked out Drudgereport lately? I couldn't help but notice


"BUSH BREAKS ALL-TIME POPULAR VOTE TOTAL, SURPASSING REAGAN..."


Democrats you still want teh popular vote??? LOL I'm loving this!


http://www.foxnews.com/video2/playe...02004&8&ram-300


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post #87  quote:

Interesting stuff, I watched this until 12 last night, and STILL dont know who won!

Old Post 11-03-2004 01:32 PM
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post #88  quote:

They have determined that it would take ALL the provisional ballots in Ohio to affect this election and that it is a statistical impossibility.

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post #89  quote:

But keep in mind statistically impossible doesn't mean impossible....





......... yeah okay, it ain't gonna happen, but still...


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post #90  quote:

They have determined that only about 7% to 10% of Provisional Ballots are legal ballots. Included in the amount is the Absent T Ballots most of which are Military and the Military tend to lean Bush. Again even those ballots were somewhere around 60% Kerry, it still wouldn't put Kerry over Bush.

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