Increasing Tentions with Iran - Post-9/11 Era

Increasing Tentions with Iran

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Posted by: White Tiger

Iran has come under heavy critism from British and UN officails recently after they seized 15 Biritsh Marines that they alledge were trespassing in Iranian waters.

The navy personnel, who include one woman, were seized at gunpoint by forces said to be Iranian Revolutionary Guards, after inspecting an Iraqi boat and returning to their two small boats to head back to the HMS Cornwall

The Prime Minister Tony Blair has said that the detaining of these people was "unjustified and wrong" he also denied at a UN conference that the marines even went into Iranian waters.

Meanwhile, the German presidency of the European Union has demanded the immediate release of the personnel.

Iran however claims that the British marines havs admitted to trespassing in Iranian waters and have refused to allow the UK or UN any contact with the detainees and have said that they are concidering legal action against the detainees and some have called for them to be put on trial.

The UK representative to the UN, Sir Emyr Jones Parry, told the BBC that he hoped to raise the subject with Irans foreign minister at a recent UN confereance but was prevented from doing so by the extended debate on Irans nuclear programme.

Sir Emyr Jones Parry said "I would have wished very much to have had the opportunity to approach the foreign minister and simply ask for the release of those sailors. Unfortunately, he allowed the debate to continue for 90 minutes before he joined us. He then assailed us for 40 minutes and then left before anyone else, and was shepherded out of the building."

However with Iran refusing to allow the UK or the UN any contact with the detainees it cant be verified whether or not the Britiah marines actually went into Iranian waters or not.

Professor Sadaq Ziba-Kalam, of Tehran University, told the BBC he did not think the marines would be charged with spying. He said "That part of the water between Iran and Iraq where the incident happened has been disputed for decades, so it is very difficult to draw the line and say this is the Iranian side of the border and this is the Iraqi side of the border."

However this incident, added to the on-going hostilities between Iran and the UN over Irans nuclear programme, has just served to raise more tention in this already tense relationship between the UN and Iran.

Recently the UN Security Council voted unanimously in favour of further sanctions against Iran for its refusal to suspend its nuclear enrichment programme.

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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
White Tiger said this in post #1 :
The Prime Minister Tony Blair has said that the detaining of these people was "unjustified and wrong" he also denied at a UN conference that the marines even went into Iranian waters.


The problem with Tony Blair is he's lied so much and so often his credibility is shot to pieces so who believes anything he says. When he uses words like "unjustified" and "wrong" I'm more inclined to believe the opposite just because he's saying them.

And does the British government realise "demanding" the release of these sailors just shows how impotent and weak we really are in the region. We're hardly in a great position to be barking orders at Iran.
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Posted by: lodgebo

To hell with policy, diplomacy and wether Tony Blair is a lair or night they have our men illegally that pice of water in not Irans or Iraqs it's always been disputed a dispute that has never been resolved.
So maybe we stop looking weak and start to up the ante a little for starters let stick 2 battleships outside Iranian international waters ditto with tornadoes in airspace not to do anything but it will send a message. Then lets start a UN resolution declaring that strech of water to become Iraq waters saying that recent events prove Iran cannot be trusted to police it correctly, of course these resolutions take time so while we wait we arrest any Iranian army boats that end up in the area for the same reason our lot are being held. If all else fail we take a caluculated risk by bombing the revolutionary guards HQ if that fails fine we use our spies find out where the sailors and soldiers are then we send in the SAS or SBS to bust them out.
Like I said Iran are the aggressors they acted illegally that means that we can and should use any means possible to get our people back.

Also why has the Iranina embassy not been kicked out of the UK they have made it obvious they don't want to help so kick them out they are hardly allies or neutral countries in this.

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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
lodgebo said this in post #3 :
Like I said Iran are the aggressors they acted illegally that means that we can and should use any means possible to get our people back.


Is the legality important to you because Iran say we acted illegally and are the aggressors? We are not at war with Iran so there is no reason to think these sailors will be harmed. That would certainly change if we started bombing the Revolutionary Guards HQ.

And when I say the UK government looks weak, I'm talking about making demands we can't back up, and we can't back them up because we are already involved in two wars in this area and to start another front would be a disaster, and would do nothing to get these sailors back.
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Posted by: h@ts

This from the FT.

quote:
A deliberate decision to escalate tensions in the region also carries far more risks for Iran than for the other players in this dangerous drama. The new UN resolution passed the Security Council by 15-0. Iran received no protection from Russia or China. Outside the UN, Iran is increasingly isolated. Arab states such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan are increasingly open in their hostility. It is now in Iranian interests to promote diplomacy.

Opportunities for Iran to take the diplomatic route do exist. The hawks in Washington – who were pressing for military strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities – are on the defensive. The diplomats at the State Department, who favour negotiations, want high-level talks with Iran and Syria, possibly next month. Any diplomatic opening would certainly be more limited than Iran wants. There would be no direct bilateral contacts and the talks would focus initially on Iraq alone. But, if they went well, they could surely be expanded to take in Iranian security concerns, maritime boundaries and – above all – the nuclear issue. Further brinkmanship is in nobody’s interests.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2cb47d3a-db...0b5df10621.html
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Posted by: White Tiger

This isn't the first time Iran has taken British personnel unlawfully. It happend a few years ago and the Iranians forced the captured British servicemen, blindfolded, to confess to tresspassing on Iranian TV and then released them.

The powers that be in Iran have backed themselves into a corner. They have very few supporters in the world wide scheme of things and seem intent on making enemies of the US, the UK and the UN.

The problem that we have, as well, is that there are at least three different parties that control Iran without caring about the other two so whatever happens you cant be sure whether or not you are working with the party that can do anything about the situation or not.

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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
White Tiger said this in post #6 :
[B]This isn't the first time Iran has taken British personnel unlawfully.


Where's the evidence that they were taken unlawfully? Both sides are giving contradictory statements. I've read reports that we have already carried out military operations inside Iran, and who would be surprised if we hadn't infiltrated certain areas of the Iran in preparation for any future attacks.
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Posted by: White Tiger

If the Iranian government can prove, without a shodow off doubt, that the British personnel did invade their waters and were openly hostile about doing so, as the Iranians claim, the I will retract that statement you have highlighted h@ts and appologise for saying it, however if the Iranians arrested the British personnel in waters that were either Iraqi waters or neutral waters then that statement will be perfectly valid.

The fact of the matter is that I don't know everything about this situation so I cannot give you any evidence either for or against that statement. However what I can tell you is that both the Iranians and the British claim to have evidence supporting their side of the arguement.

If the British personnel were returning to HMS Cornwall after inspecting an Iraqi ship then it leads me to these questions, was the Iraqi ship in Iranian waters? If so why were the sailors on the Iraqi ship not detained along with the British?

If the ships in that area are inspected in the same way as they are here then the whole procedure would have been watched carefully from the Cornwall itself so unless the men and women on the Cornwall weren't doing there job then there is every reason to assume that the incident occured in either the neutral waters between the Iranian and Iraqi waters or the Iraqi waters themself.

If that is the case then the seisure of the British personnel was unlawful.

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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
White Tiger said this in post #8 :
The fact of the matter is that I don't know everything about this situation so I cannot give you any evidence either for or against that statement. However what I can tell you is that both the Iranians and the British claim to have evidence supporting their side of the arguement.


So why should we automatically presume the Iranians are lying and the British are telling the truth? Our relations with Iran may be strained because of Iraq, but we are not at war with them.

Blair uses terms like "unjustified" and "wrong". Blair's a lawyer and he knows there is a big difference between the above terms and the term "unlawful". Have any British politicians come out and said the arrests were actually "unlawful"? Or are they skipping around the term?

Iran has said this could have been an accidental incursion into Iranian waters, which sounds like they are attempting to diffuse the tension before it gets any worse.
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Posted by: White Tiger

quote:
h@ts said this in post #9 :


So why should we automatically presume the Iranians are lying and the British are telling the truth? Our relations with Iran may be strained because of Iraq, but we are not at war with them.

Blair uses terms like "unjustified" and "wrong". Blair's a lawyer and he knows there is a big difference between the above terms and the term "unlawful". Have any British politicians come out and said the arrests were actually "unlawful"? Or are they skipping around the term?

Iran has said this could have been an accidental incursion into Iranian waters, which sounds like they are attempting to diffuse the tension before it gets any worse.


Perhaps if you read the second to last paragraph of my last post then you will see that I have already said why it is assumed that the Biritsh are telling the truth and the Iranians lying.

However I shall reiterate for you.

If the ships in that area are inspected in the same way as they are here then the whole procedure would have been watched carefully from the Cornwall itself so unless the men and women on the Cornwall weren't doing there job then there is every reason to assume that the incident occured in either the neutral waters between the Iranian and Iraqi waters or the Iraqi waters themself.

and if Iran has said that the British personnell accidentally invaded their waters the why are they still detaining them? Why haven't they let the UK contact the detainees? and why are they talking about pressing legal charges against the British personnel and the UK?
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Posted by: lodgebo

Also it has come out that there was a Sea King helicoptor monitoring the boats position now if those boats had crossed a line eitheer the GPS in the Cornwall or the eyes in the SEa king would have let them know.
Oh and I wish people would staop calling it Iranian waters it is disputed waters Iraq nd Iran have been arguing about ownership for years.
Also why should we belive that UK over Iran simple Iran have pulled this crap before remember.
And the Iranians if they are telling the truth that the boats where in thier agreed area, that they were spying well simple prove it lets see your evidence you are the aggressor show us eveidence for being aggresive. Also the troops are being treated weel and looked after again prove it let the UK embassy or the red cross see them because I have serious doubts after the last time remember mock executions daily beatings I would not be surprised if the female has been raped already.
Oh and the word unlawfull has been used by at least one MOD officla and I belive Tony Blair used it when he threatend phase 2 is on the cards.
Quite frankly I can't belive that there are people in thos country that either want to sit on thier asses and do nothing or make call into account or sailors credibility, now obvioulsy because of isues like Iraq and the cinduct of Tony Blair people will act like that but if you ask me they need to unconnect the dots they have made in thier minds. This is not about Iraq or Tony Blair it's about unlawful arrest plain and simple and every person in this country should be outraged about this and should be prepared to let Tony Blair and the MOD do what thiey are leagally entilted to do and that would be phase 4 get a UN resolution and lets us go and get out troops home.

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Posted by: h@ts

You can't separate this incident from the credibility issue Blair has, and the complete lack of trust many people have in him and anything he says.

If as Blair now says he has evidence to prove the sailors were in Iraqi water he should present it and we can get past this initial phase of this incident. Likewise the Iranians should do the same. The difference between the two countries is that this incident happened off the Iranian coast NOT the English channel.

As for people sitting on their arses, there are diplomatic talks going on all over the place. Even the Germans authorities summoned the Iranian ambassador in Germany to demand the release of these sailors.

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Posted by: lodgebo

quote:
h@ts said this in post #12 :
You can't separate this incident from the credibility issue Blair has, and the complete lack of trust many people have in him and anything he says.

I have to disagree. Iran kidnapped these sailors and as a result Blair as the leader of this country was dragged into this arguement. His credibility is as much an issue in this as his approach to say the NHS it's all seperate incidents. All I can say is in this situation I am glad Blair is in charge of the country could you imagine if somebody like say the Lib Dems Menzies campbell was in charge of this incident, we need somebody who is prepared to get tough if we need to be.

If as Blair now says he has evidence to prove the sailors were in Iraqi water he should present it and we can get past this initial phase of this incident.

And what good would it do, do you think Iran would be " oh sorry our mistake off you go boys" no chance they would still want an investigation and a trial and everything tht goes with it. The Iranians are the aggressors they are making the charges they need to be submitting the evidence plain and simple. It would also suit them to do that, most of the world are angry about what they are doing so submit the evidence prove us all wrong and we have not a leg to stand on.

The difference between the two countries is that this incident happened off the Iranian coast NOT the English channel.

I don't give a damn where it happend what I care about is 15 kidnapped British personnel and thier visual proof of thier well being. But you make an intresting point though never in a million years would we treat Iranian "trespassers" they are treating our troops. One thing I know the UK would not do would be dargging our heels on an issue with this much heat around it.

As for people sitting on their arses, there are diplomatic talks going on all over the place. Even the Germans authorities summoned the Iranian ambassador in Germany to demand the release of these sailors.


What I was talking about are thjose that are taking a wait and see approach and are more than ready to attack Blair as face up to the reality of what is going on. however when Germany, other middle east countries and apprently even Syria privatly are trying to get these sailors released that maybe they know Iran is acting up and that these people have indeed been kidnapped.
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Posted by: White Tiger

The BBC are running an on-going thing with this and recently BBC Radio 4 interviewed Dr Ali Pahlavan, the editor of Iran News, an independent newspaper published in Tehran, on this situation this is what he had to say.

quote:
The suspicion is that they are in Tehran. The only official government line is that they crossed into Iranian territorial waters and confessed to it.

My understanding of the situation is that this could be a reaction to the UN sanctions which were passed two days ago... the revolutionary guards had promised that some sort of reaction would be forthcoming from Iran.

The revolutionary guards are a very hard line, ultra-conservative wing of the regime who believe that the US and Britain need to be challenged in the Persian Gulf and in the Middle East... their interests need to be challenged in Palestine, in Lebanon, in Iraq and elsewhere.

So this could be part of the strategy to challenge the British and American supremacy in this part of the world which is troubling. It could lead to confrontation and be a trigger and which could lead to escalation.

Two years ago when British sailors were seized, there was a different Iranian government which was more moderate and more reformist.

But now the revolutionary guard is the government; it is very different situation as the crisis over the nuclear issue is at a very critical stage... the revolutionary guards are of the view that the UK and the US should be pushed and their interests need to be threatened. So this is a serious situation.

But the British are more diplomatically astute and understand Persia... if it was American servicemen or the American marines, this could have led to war.

So there is some hope - at least on my part - that believes in a few days or a few weeks this could be resolved. But then again you never know.

I am worried because it's very different than the 2004 incident. The revolutionary guard is the government now.

So it is troubling and it is worrying. Many of us analysts had predicted an incident in the Persian Gulf, which is very crucial to the global economy and to Western interests and could trigger something disastrous.

How are most Iranian people reacting to the situation?

We can't really assess it because right now in Iran it's the Persian New Year holidays and most people are on vacation. Offices are closed and the city of Tehran, which is the political heart of the country.

But if the situation escalates and continues to be the kind of crisis that I think it is, this could be very troubling.
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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
lodgebo said this in post #13 :
never in a million years would we treat Iranian "trespassers" they are treating our troops. One thing I know the UK would not do would be dargging our heels on an issue with this much heat around it.


Putting aside these 15 sailors for a minute, what you say about how we would treat foreign suspects is not true. There are secret prisons in Europe where kidnapped suspects are taken and tortured. Blair and therefore the British government turned a blind eye to the American extraordinary rendition flights that landed and took off in Britain.

Plus Blair has dragged his heals in regard to America's illegal imprisonment and torture, of suspects in Guantanamo Bay, many of them British citizens, who have subsequently been released without charge after years of imprisonment.

If this incident with the 15 sailors is as White Tiger's post says, a push by the revolutionary guard to test our supremacy then we are in serious trouble.

Blair says he will release information today that proves the sailors were in Iraqi water. Once that has happened I don't see what the Iranians can do but release the sailors?
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Posted by: lodgebo

quote:
h@ts said this in post #15 :


Putting aside these 15 sailors for a minute, what you say about how we would treat foreign suspects is not true. There are secret prisons in Europe where kidnapped suspects are taken and tortured. Blair and therefore the British government turned a blind eye to the American extraordinary rendition flights that landed and took off in Britain.

Come on that's a totally diffrent issue and FYI there are many in the British government who have been openly critical of rendition flights. While both actions are wrong there is a diffrence between capturin Austrlian, American and British AL Queida fighters in say Afghnistan and taking them away to E Europe and British soldiers carryiong out legitimate operations in Iraq.

Plus Blair has dragged his heals in regard to America's illegal imprisonment and torture, of suspects in Guantanamo Bay, many of them British citizens, who have subsequently been released without charge after years of imprisonment.

Again diffrent incident has nothing to do with the kidnap of 15 sailors.

If this incident with the 15 sailors is as White Tiger's post says, a push by the revolutionary guard to test our supremacy then we are in serious trouble.

I would disagree revolutionary guard are tough but are up to about the same standard as our Marines plus the number is no where near as many as Iran will have us belive. Besiudes if it came to us having to go on a rescue mission and get them back well that would be a special forces mission and in the department we have the absolute best in the world.
If you are talking an all out war though we would get support remember Iran is the aggressor not us.


Blair says he will release information today that proves the sailors were in Iraqi water. Once that has happened I don't see what the Iranians can do but release the sailors?


Blair could release anything he wants I have said before Iran will not care they will either claim the evidnece is doctored or ignore it all together. If that happens then we really have to up the ante and it won't be an immediate thing but plans will be drawn up for a hostile extraction.
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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
lodgebo: that's a totally diffrent issue and FYI there are many in the British government who have been openly critical of rendition flights.


Problem with Blair is he doesn't listen to his own party, and hasn't for a long time.

All I'm saying is it's hard for us to claim the high moral ground, which automatically assumes the Iranians are in the wrong when we clearly ignore international law we find inconvenient, especially when that means criticising the US.

Saying that you're right that two wrongs don't make a right, and if Blair's information proves the sailors were in Iraqi water the Iranians will have no credibility. Blair doesn't even need to release it to the public, just show it to the Iranians and say we will release it, which it appears to be what he is doing.

quote:
I would disagree revolutionary guard are tough but are up to about the same standard as our Marines plus the number is no where near as many as Iran will have us belive.


You seriously think it would be wise to start another military front in the Gulf?

quote:
If you are talking an all out war though we would get support remember Iran is the aggressor not us.


Israel tried all out war to (supposedly) get military personal back. Not only are the soldiers still captive, the democratic government was weakened, and Hezbollah became for many in the region heroes.

If it comes to us being forced to get them out I would much rather see a special forces operation.
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Posted by: White Tiger

The Royal Navy says GPS evidence proves 15 personnel being held in Iran were 1.7 nautical miles inside Iraqi waters when they were seized in the Gulf.

Vice Admiral Charles Style said the Iranians had given two different positions for the personnel - the first inside Iraqi territorial waters. He said they had been "ambushed" after the search of a vessel and that their detention was "unjustified and wrong".

Iran insists the group had been in its waters when they were taken on Friday.

Earlier, Turkey's prime minister was quoted as saying his diplomats may be allowed to meet the group, taken in the Gulf. According to CNN Turk television, Recep Tayyip Erdogan gave the indication after meeting the Iranian foreign minister and before an Arab leaders' summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

The Foreign Office said reports that Turkish diplomats may be granted access to the detainees should be treated with "caution". It stressed: "For the moment, the point is that we want access to them."

Downing Street has said that up to now the UK has been attempting to talk "discreetly" to the Iranians to secure the release of the Royal Navy personnel. The prime minister's spokesman said that if the talks were unsuccessful, the government may have to become "more explicit" with Iran.

Salah Al Shaikhly, Iraq's ambassador to the UK, said his country would try to help the bid to secure the personnel's release and "the voice of reason should prevail".

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Posted by: EUCLID

I heard there was some controversy over why the 15 sailors did not fight back when confronted by the Iranians. Apparently they wanted permission to fight back, but permission was denied by higher command. U.S. military commanders have commented that they would have fought back under such circumstances.

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Posted by: lodgebo

They did not fight back because if they did they would be dead end of story. They were in lightboats that had no gun and had the minimum of arms most likely rifles pistols and knifes, they were facing 6 heavily armed Iranian warships that did have main guns and heavily armed revolutionary guards. They were outnumbred and outgunned part of being a Royal Marine is knowing when to fight and when to surrender , although surrende is the last option it was in this case right one no group in the world would have survived a gunfight with the odds they marines and sailors had.

As for the developments it is now clear Iran is lying. The GPS pictuures prove where the sailors were, the Indian cargo ship has also confrimed it hell that boat is still in the same position. Iran intially gace co -ordinates that were inside Iraqi waters and then had to change them, I also find Irans reply to the UK regarding the GPs to be a little quick almost dare I say prepared. On the more serios note this refusal to grant consulr access and refuse tyo give locations of the troops can only escalate the situation and will make Iran evenmore alone against the world. Also a fact I forget that the Foreign secreetary made this afternoon. All ships are supposed to be given soverign status therfore all Iran could and should have done was expalin the sitution and tell the boats to turn back as of yet they have given no reason why they did not do this.

As it satnds Iran is finding itself alone at least 4 Gulf states have been openly critical and other have privately offerdd support, Germany will today speak for the UK in an EU leaders summit. More worringly for Iran next week the UK is in charge of the UN security council so I imagine something will be motioned and carried if the situtaion is not resolved. All business ties with Iran have been suspended and if this goes on much longer diplomatic ties will follow.

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Posted by: EUCLID

quote:
lodgebo said this in post #20 :
They did not fight back because if they did they would be dead end of story. They were in lightboats that had no gun and had the minimum of arms most likely rifles pistols and knifes, they were facing 6 heavily armed Iranian warships that did have main guns and heavily armed revolutionary guards.


Well not resisting makes sense if they were outgunned. However, as I heard the issue presented in the news, they said the 15 sailors had cannons, rockets, torpedos, etc., and the conclusion of the report was that they were more than adequately armed to take on the Iranians. They also stated that the 15 sailors desperately wanted permission to fight back, so they must have been convinced that they were sufficiently armed for such a conflict.
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Posted by: lodgebo

Well sorry but thats simply not true. I was in the marines and I know these boats and there is not that capacity to carry the kind of firepower and also you would not need that kind of equipment for a simple patrol you would hve your basic kit and not much else would be needed bacause you are going to be fairly close to the main warship in this case the Cornwall. If it was a combat mission you may have more stuff but not a simple patrol.

Also even if you had the kit they were surronded you could not get a shot off before bing cut down by Iranian machine gun fire.

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Posted by: White Tiger

Iranian state television has broadcast an interview with captured British female sailor Faye Turney and footage of the 14 servicemen seized with her. Leading Seaman Turney, 26, said they had been seized in the Gulf because "obviously we trespassed" in Iranian waters - something the UK disputes. She said her captors had been friendly and the 15 personnel were unharmed.

The circumstances of the filming is unknown.

The footage showed the eight Royal Navy sailors and seven Royal Marines, who were seized at gunpoint by Iranian Revolutionary Guards last Friday, in their uniforms sitting and eating a meal out of white trays.

There was separate footage of Leading Seaman Turney - wearing a black headscarf - smoking and speaking.

She said: "I was arrested on Friday March 23. Obviously we trespassed into their waters. They were very friendly and very hospitable, very thoughtful, good people. They explained to us why we had been arrested. There was no aggression, no hurt, no harm. They were very, very compassionate."

The video showed a letter, said to have been written by Leading Seaman Turney to her parents, in which she admitted that the navy personnel had "apparently" crossed into Iranian waters. "I wish we hadn't because then I would be home with you right now," the letter said.

Mrs Beckett said she was concerned about "any indication of pressure on or coercion of our personnel" who she said were on a routine operation in accordance with international law.

She added: "I am particularly disappointed that a private letter has been used in a way which can only add to the distress of the families."

Defence Secretary Des Browne said it was "completely unacceptable to parade our people in this way".


In respnsoe to the UK vesion of event earlier today Iran's embassy in London issued a statement in which it said the sailors and marines had been 0.5 km inside Iranian waters at the time they were seized.

The statement, quoted by the official IRNA news agency, said "the governments of Iran and Britain have the ability to solve the incident through contacts and close co-operation".

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Posted by: h@ts

Anyone know what the actual job the British sailors are doing patrolling these disputed waters?

Craig Murray, on More 4 news this evening, has an interesting take on this dispute. He says the "difficulty is that the maritime delimitation in the North West of the Persian Gulf, between Iraq, Kuwait and Iran, has never been resolved. And the line that the British government is talking about was drawn up by the British and not recognised by anyone else. It is not therefore a question of just checking your GPS to see where you are. This is a perfectly legitimate dispute, in which nobody is particularly at fault."

Also - "There is nothing outlandish about Iranian claims, and we have no right in law to be boarding Iranian or other shipping in what may well be Iranian waters. The UN Convention on the Law of The Sea carries a heavy presumption on the right of commercial vessels to "innocent passage", especially through straits like Hormuz and in both territorial and international waters. You probably won't read this elsewhere in these jingoistic times but, in international law, we are very probably in the wrong. As long as the Iranians neither mistreat our Marines nor wilfully detain them too long, they have the right."

It seems very much like we overreacted to the initial arrest, creating a far more serious incident than it needed to be, now getting to the stage where it's become a case of who is going to blink first, the British or the Iranian governments.

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Posted by: lodgebo

Actually although the waters are disputed there have been lines drawn up who can go where that have been the accepted lines since the end of the Iran Iraq war. So as long as the UK boats stayed withiun the Iraqi lines there should not be a problem and the GPS and the Indian boat both say we were in Iraqi waters end of story.

I know about the UN law of the sea but troops are perfectly entitled to search a ship if the belive it is involved in smuggling and they obvioulsy thought it was smuggling weapons so they are withing thier rights. What is not in doubt is the soverign rights of warships if those boats had staryed into Iran waters they should have been turned away plain and simple not arrested.

Overreacting let me get this straight we stayed in an area we are meant to be in now I don't care what Channel 4 or Iran says other ships, coalition troops, MOD, GPS, and the international community have stated and agreed we where we should be, we are doing legitimate work, we were not spying ( even Iran acknowledges that) and we were not the aggressors. And you saw we overreacted when Iran breaks internatonal waterways to kidnap 15 sailors, denies them consular access, refuse to give up thier location and then parades them on TV. Sorry H@ts but if you think we overreacted then you must be a very soft person because any other country in the world would be going crazy about this whole situation.

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Posted by: EUCLID

quote:
lodgebo said this in post #25 :

Sorry H@ts but if you think we overreacted then you must be a very soft person because any other country in the world would be going crazy about this whole situation.


I worry that we are under-reacting. Iran is obviously playing this for all it is worth. I think all this saber rattling actually sends a message of weakness in this case. If we really intend to use force against Iran, there is no need to make loud threats. Loud threats tell Iran that that's all we have.
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Posted by: Inner City Blues

Why is Iran parading captured soldiers on TV? Seriously, this stinks to high heaven. The GPS and the changing Iranian government story just shows they're lying.

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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
lodgebo said this in post #25 :
Sorry H@ts but if you think we overreacted then you must be a very soft person because any other country in the world would be going crazy about this whole situation.


Demanding the Immediate release of the sailors got us nowhere. In fact it did the opposite, it entrenched positions on both sides, and made any possible quick release less likely.

The British government should not have disregarded the fact that this border line was drawn up by us and only recognised by the us. We must have known this and we also must have known this knowledge would come out.

But that was then, now is now. As Craig Murray says, now that the sailors have not been released and we have not been allowed to see them and they have been paraded on TV, now should have been the time to make demands, cut off all forms of traffic, and bring in the UN, all of which we have done, because the Iranians are completely in the wrong. It can't be stated enough that we are NOT at war with Iran, so the initial overreaction has worked against the sailor's interests, and was a futile gesture, no doubt to appease the initial criticism in the media demanding we do something so they have something to publish on their front pages.
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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
EUCLID said this in post #26 :


I worry that we are under-reacting. Iran is obviously playing this for all it is worth. I think all this saber rattling actually sends a message of weakness in this case. If we really intend to use force against Iran, there is no need to make loud threats. Loud threats tell Iran that that's all we have.


We are clearly in a weak position. The last thing we needed to do was emphasis that fact. But it's too late now. No wonder the Iranian foreign minister looked so amused and as you say "playing this for all it is worth".
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Posted by: h@ts

Iran has said if we admit we were wrong they will release the sailors.

What do we do? Say sorry and get the sailors back or refuse the offer and prolong the sailor's capture?

quote:
Iran: Britain Must Admit Navy Trespassed

SALAH NASRAWI | AP | March 28, 2007 10:31 PM EST

RIYADH, Saudi Arabia — Iran's foreign minister said Wednesday that Britain must admit that its 15 sailors and marines entered Iranian waters in order to resolve a standoff over their capture by the Mideast nation.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-...ish-seized-iran
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Posted by: EUCLID

quote:
h@ts said this in post #30 :
Iran has said if we admit we were wrong they will release the sailors.

What do we do? Say sorry and get the sailors back or refuse the offer and prolong the sailor's capture?



Saying we are sorry or admitting fault when we are not at fault is the absolutely worst thing we could do.

On the face, it appears as though this was a simple enforcement matter wherein Iran believed their border was being violated, perhaps due to a basic disagreement or misunderstanding of where the border is. If that were the case, they would have released the 15 sailors by now, after realizing that they intended no harm to Iran. But in actuality, Iran did this in calculation for a higher objective to push back against the Great Satan.

It is not as if this were a minor issue that we over reacted to and thus drove up the stakes. Iran knew there would be a strong reaction with a demand that the sailors be retuned. Anybody knows that would be the case under these circumstances. A strong reaction would have been as predictable as what happens when you poke a hornet’s nest.

In my opinion, confessing to fault when it is not true would be worse than a rescue attempt that results in the deaths of the 15 sailors. Iran is engaging in this to jerk us around. They have already reneged on their promised release of the woman. I guarantee you that if we did admit fault, Iran would not release the 15 sailors. They would make another demand instead. The last time they were in this driver’s seat, they rode it for 444 days.
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Posted by: lodgebo

Why should we apologise we have done f**k all wrong plain and simple.

Also H@ts you need to do alittl research those waterlines were drawn up and agreed by the UN, Iran and Iraq many years ago and for many years Iran has stuck to them now they get all rowdy about them. Regardless anyway ships have soverign powers and should have been told to turn back not be captured thats in interntional law.

Also what do you think we should have done in the first instance asked nicely for them back and when they said no piss off and sing Kumbya and pray for the sailors we should call that plan Z.

IMO opinion we should not apologise for the waterway, the emabrgo, the UN condemantion that is coming, the condemnation of othe Gukf states and if it comes to it the death of any Iranians that get in our way if we have to get the troops back.

Also are we all so blind we can't see the ploy by Iran? we apologise and that's an admittanmce and will be used in evidnece against these sailors that why they want an apology and I would love to see this tape that shows the sailors in Iranina waters as well.

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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
EUCLID said this in post #31 :On the face, it appears as though this was a simple enforcement matter wherein Iran believed their border was being violated, perhaps due to a basic disagreement or misunderstanding of where the border is.


If the British government knew the border was in any way disputable - and this fact has since come out but not from the Blair's government - they should have played it a bit cooler. When you've blown your top there's no where left to go. Because of this the incident quickly turned into a stand-off.

quote:
If that were the case, they would have released the 15 sailors by now, after realizing that they intended no harm to Iran. But in actuality, Iran did this in calculation for a higher objective to push back against the Great Satan.


That's one of many possibilities. It could be just tit-for-tat posturing. It could be because the US is flying unmanned drones through Iranian air space. It could be that they genuinly believed these sailors were sailing in Iranian territory.

quote:
It is not as if this were a minor issue that we over reacted to and thus drove up the stakes.


Of course we over-reacted. The media immediately blew it up into a fully fledged military incident because of the way the British governments reacted, when it could have firstly be dealt with as a border dispute.

quote:
Iran knew there would be a strong reaction with a demand that the sailors be retuned. A strong reaction would have been as predictable as what happens when you poke a hornet’s nest.


And WE should have know that the Iranians were expecting the exact reaction we gave them, and therefore they were already one step ahead of us. This today from Mr Larijani, head of Iran's supreme national security council, said: "It was announced that a woman in the group would be freed, but (this development) was met with an incorrect attitude." Doesn't that sound like they are telling us off for having a tantrum?

quote:
The last time they were in this driver’s seat, they rode it for 444 days.


The were some British soldiers taken not that long ago, maybe a year, and they were not held for too long.
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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
lodgebo said this in post #32 :
Also what do you think we should have done in the first instance asked nicely for them back and when they said no piss off and sing Kumbya and pray for the sailors we should call that plan Z.


I don't think the British government should have gone on television and started demanding something they couldn't back up with any force. What they then did behind the scenes is a totally different matter. And that should have been the real diplomatic response.

quote:
Also are we all so blind we can't see the ploy by Iran? we apologise and that's an admittanmce and will be used in evidnece against these sailors that why they want an apology and I would love to see this tape that shows the sailors in Iranina waters as well.


If that's the case then I would presume the Iranians know we will not be able to apologise.
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Posted by: h@ts

The British postion could well be softening. This from Lord Triesman saying if we did stray into Iranian waters it could have been accidental:

quote:
Lord Triesman, a Foreign Office undersecretary who had held talks with Iran's ambassador on Saturday, told Sky News there was good evidence the men were in Iraqi waters, but that the issue of whether the sailors had strayed into Iranian waters was only a technical one.

"I've been very clear throughout that the British forces do not ever intentionally enter into Iranian waters," he said. "There's no reason for them to do so, we don't intend to do so and I think people should accept there's good faith in those assertions."

http://abcnews.go.com/International...=2980163&page=2
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Posted by: White Tiger

This is the timeline of events so far:

1. Iran recieves the message that the UN voted unanimously to impose sanctions on their nuclear programme, several sorces claim that the Revolutionary Guard will do something in retalliation. ((This could be an unrelated event but speculation surrounds the actions of Iran so soon after this UN decision was reached))

2. British sailors returning to HMS Cornwall after inspecting an Iraqi ship are ambushed by a number of heavily armed Iranian gun-boats and escorted into Iran to be held at an undisclosed location. UK insist the sailors were in Iraqi waters

3. Iranian news releases statement claiming that the British sailors agressively entered their waters and admitted to doing so and claim that they have GPS evidence to prove it. UK still insist that sailors were in Iraqi waters.

4. Iran refuse to tell UK where sailors are being held and a number of Iranians demand the Sailors be put on trial. Prime Minister Tony Blair says it is "serious" and calls for a swift end to the "unjustified and wrong" detention. UN calls fro the sailors to be released.

5. Iran says the 15 sailors are being questioned but were not taken in exchange for Iranians held by the US in Iraq. The UK holds a third meeting with Iran's ambassador. In Tehran, the British ambassador is assured the missing personnel are "fit and well". Iraq's minister of foreign affairs tells Iran the British personnel were in Iraqi waters.

6. Prime Minister Tony Blair's official spokesman says the UK could release evidence to prove the group was in Iraqi waters. Tony Blair talks of a "different phase" in diplomatic efforts if current moves fail, the sailors were in Iraqi waters under a UN mandate, he adds. The BBC is told the group are being held in Tehran, where Iran says they are being treated humanely.

7. Iranian state television broadcasts an interview with Faye Turney (the capture female sailor) and footage of the servicemen. They had "obviously" trespassed but their captors had been friendly, she says. The programme also shows a personnal letter written by Turney to her family. Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki says Ms Turney will be released within two days. The Royal Navy presents GPS evidence it says proves the group were 1.7 nautical miles inside Iraqi waters when they were seized. Iran claim that the Sailors were 0.5 nautical miles inside their waters.

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Posted by: oneofpeace

I don't understand what appears to be your defense of Iran and anything but less than truthful here h@ts. Of course anyone can make an argument but given Iran's erratic behavior as of late, I find it hard pressed to believe anything they have to say about those soldiers being almost 2 miles inside their water way.

Even if you believe they were up to something, what could that be so far out in the water? I guess the boarding of that ship was something they decided to do while conducting a covert op?

It just doesn't jibe and given Iran's propensity to compound and already difficult situation in the M.E., I say they are playing more of the games they've been playing since this Iraq debacle.

If you can only see the lies of Blair and not hose of Ahmandinejad, then you're having trouble processing actual events in that region.

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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
oneofpeace said this in post #37 :
I don't understand what appears to be your defense of Iran


Why? It's pretty clear what I'm saying, and I'm not supporting Iran, I'm questioning people's automatic assumptions. What I know about this incident will change as it unfolds. I don't automatically believe either Iran or Blair's government when they make claims.

quote:
Of course anyone can make an argument but given Iran's erratic behavior as of late, I find it hard pressed to believe anything they have to say about those soldiers being almost 2 miles inside their water way.


I don't know what particular erratic behaviour you're talking about but if it's relevant to the argument post it, or your just talking hot air.

quote:
It just doesn't jibe and given Iran's propensity to compound and already difficult situation in the M.E., I say they are playing more of the games they've been playing since this Iraq debacle.


Come-on, everyone is playing "games" in the Middle East, to "compound and already difficult situation". There are Hawks in Washington that are determined to attack Iran. You give me a good reason why I should trust either the Bush or Blair governments? I certainly don't trust Iran's government but unlike the US and UK they are not the country starting wars. They are the country under threat.

quote:
If you can only see the lies of Blair and not hose of Ahmandinejad


If I can only see... blah blah blah? Blair lies. Bush lies. Ahmandinejad lies.
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Posted by: EUCLID

As Iran nears the goal of producing nuclear weapons, there is a belief that they must be stopped before they reach the so-called point of no return. It is thought that the only ones who would stop them would be Israel and/or the U.S. I read a book called, “Showdown With Nuclear Iran” by Michael D. Evans. In it Mr. Evans outlines the consequences of either taking preemptive action against Iran or not doing so. Of course the consequences of taking out Iran’s nuclear capability are huge. Unlike Iraq’s nuclear reactor that Israel took out in the 1980s, Iran’s facilities are much larger. Much of it is deep underground, and mingled with civilian areas, so thousands of civilians would be killed. Of course Iran would also retaliate with a declaration of war on Israel and the U.S. by launching missiles on the assets of both countries throughout the Middle East and Europe.

But Mr. Evans says that, from Israel’s point of view, the only thing that would be worse that a preemptive strike would be letting Iran acquire nuclear weapons. He also says that the U.S. does not have the political will to take preemptive action, so from Israel’s point of view they have to take preemptive action. There is no other choice. It is only a matter of when. The only thing that could derail this inevitable clash is if Iran changes their mind about acquiring nuclear weapons. But that seems unlikely, given how far they have come, and that they are only 1-2 years away from their goal.

So the world waits for what appears to be an inevitable preemptive attack on Iran by Israel. But I have had a feeling that the ironic surprise will be that Iran will be the first one to make a move, not Israel or the U.S. I think there is a high probability that this will happen very soon, likely in relation to this developing hostage crisis. Both sides are posturing and rattling sabers, and there are no rules to the game that is being played right now as tensions and provocations escalate.

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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
EUCLID said this in post #39 :
[B]As Iran nears the goal of producing nuclear weapons, there is a belief that they must be stopped before they reach the so-called point of no return.


What gives us the god given right to decide who has the bomb? Who tells the US to stop developing new nuclear weapons (bunker busters were the last ones I heard of). Who stopped Pakistan, or Israel? Who's telling the UK they must stop the update of their Trident nuclear missile system at a cost of £70,000,000,000 which they have just voted through parliament?

This arrogant attitude stinks to heaven, and must grate with countries around the world. It is saying - only we are responsible enough to have the bomb. Only we can have the capacity to nuke you. You only have the capacity to be nuked, so do as you're told.

I would rather Iran did not have the bomb, but I don't see us rushing to become nuclear weapon free, and until we do get rid of ours the hypocrisy is damaging and extremely bad for relations between countries.
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Posted by: h@ts

UN support for Britain was hardly overwhelming yesterday, with Russia refusing to allow the words "immeditae release" in any statement, and again today the British government is back-peddling and softening its tone.

Iran is isolated but so it seems is the Blair government. Even America is saying very little.

quote:
LONDON (AFX) - Britain today said that it was not seeking a confrontation with Iran over the 15 naval personnel currently being detained.

Prime Minister Tony Blair's spokesman told reporters this morning that despite Iran parading the marines and sailors on television yesterday, it was not Britain's intention 'to resort to rhetoric' to resolve the issue.

'We want this resolved as quickly as possible', he said. 'We do not want a confrontation over this.'

He added, 'We are not seeking in any way to put Iran in the corner.'

http://www.forbes.com/business/feed...afx3562840.html
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Posted by: White Tiger

quote:
h@ts said this in post #40 :


What gives us the god given right to decide who has the bomb? Who tells the US to stop developing new nuclear weapons (bunker busters were the last ones I heard of). Who stopped Pakistan, or Israel? Who's telling the UK they must stop the update of their Trident nuclear missile system at a cost of £70,000,000,000 which they have just voted through parliament?

This arrogant attitude stinks to heaven, and must grate with countries around the world. It is saying - only we are responsible enough to have the bomb. Only we can have the capacity to nuke you. You only have the capacity to be nuked, so do as you're told.

I would rather Iran did not have the bomb, but I don't see us rushing to become nuclear weapon free, and until we do get rid of ours the hypocrisy is damaging and extremely bad for relations between countries.


The difference being that the UK and US have stopped testing nuclear weapons and have them solely as a defensive thing where as Iran has been openly agressive to a number of countries around the world and just by them refusing to let the UN check their nuclear capabilities and their nuclear programme it seems that they have something that they dont want the UN to know about.

If Irans nuclear programme is just for an improved power source for Iran then there is no problem with the UK, US or UN, however since Iran refused to allow UN inspectors to see the whole of their nuclear programme we cannot be sure whether or not they are devolping weapons.

Iran has forced the UN to make sanctons on their Nuclear programme by refusing to allow the UN to see all of it. This means that the UN fear Iran are making nuclear weapons and with Iran open hostilities towards the US, Isreal and this recent feud with the UK they fear the begining of a nuclear war.
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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
White Tiger said this in post #42 :
The difference being that the UK and US have stopped testing nuclear weapons


That's wrong. American has been developing new nukes, there called bunker busters. And Britain has just passed a bill through parliament to update our Trident nuclear capabilities.

quote:
and have them solely as a defensive thing


Anyone can claim their weapons of annihilation are "defensive". I think it was Reagan who called his weapons "peace keepers". It's pure George Orwell double speak, and it's complete BS. Nukes are about power and about being bigger and tougher than anyone else.

quote:
where as Iran has been openly agressive to a number of countries around the world


Please compare the very real aggression of the US/UK to Iran in the last 10 years. And despite the wars we've started (that's us not Iran starting wars) we still claim the divine right to keep and develop nuclear weapons while demanding other do not. It's a dangerous and damaging hypocrisy.

quote:
and just by them refusing to let the UN check their nuclear capabilities and their nuclear programme it seems that they have something that they dont want the UN to know about.


Or maybe Iran is just sick of being pushed around and told what to do by hypocrites and liars.

quote:
with Iran open hostilities towards the US, Isreal and this recent feud with the UK they fear the begining of a nuclear war.


The US has more nukes than anyone in the world. Israel has nukes. The US has openly threatened Iran, put them on a silly "axis of evil" list. Do you think maybe Iran has any legitimate worries about its own security?

It's not that long since the US and UK overthrew the democratically elected government of Iran. We may not pay to much attention to that insignificant detail of history but for the Iranians it's probably seared into their brains.
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Posted by: oneofpeace

quote:
h@ts wrote
Why? It's pretty clear what I'm saying, and I'm not supporting Iran, I'm questioning people's automatic assumptions. What I know about this incident will change as it unfolds. I don't automatically believe either Iran or Blair's government when they make


Just as you can look at Blair and Bush and discern whether events support their positions, you can also do so about Iran. Clearly they have an agenda in the conflict of that region just as you say Bush & Blair did.

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see what’s going on here and it appears you’re being less than honest.

quote:

I don't know what particular erratic behaviour you're talking about but if it's relevant to the argument post it, or your just talking hot air.


How about the retching up of rhetoric about obliterating Israel? Or how about their refusal to negotiate about their nuclear program? How about their involvement in the chaos in Iraq or the rhetoric on their websites speaking of how they will capture American and British soldiers then they turn around and do this?

If you don’t see this as erratic behavior then what would you call all of it, more “hot air”?

quote:

Come-on, everyone is playing "games" in the Middle East, to "compound and already difficult situation". There are Hawks in Washington that are determined to attack Iran. You give me a good reason why I should trust either the Bush or Blair governments? I certainly don't trust Iran's government but unlike the US and UK they are not the country starting wars. They are the country Ander


I find it funny how you can earnestly condemn your country and mine while seemingly living the benefit of the doubt to Iran? As more information unfolds about what’s happened, it’s becoming clear that Iran is lying. Your position of “who knows who’s lying or not” is and blind as those who believe Bush’s intentions were pure about Iraq.

Furthermore, Iran undeniably with the help of Bush, has exacerbated the issues there with the rhetoric, their nuclear program and now the capture of those soldiers and flat out lying about it. Despite all Bush’s and Blair’s shenanigans, it still shouldn’t obscure what is blatantly obvious.
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Posted by: White Tiger

Let me run through a few things.

I have never denied the UK or US hostilities towards Iran however Iran has been openly been hostile to many countries and are seen as a treat by many countries in the Gulf, not just by the UK or US.

Due to a treaty signed toward the end of the Cold War there is no country is allowed to test Nuclear weapons in any real sense of the word. They can develop weapons but not test them.

A trident nuclear intercontinetal balistic missile has never been fire in anger and has only ever been employed in a defensive position. The trident was developed during the Cold War as a deterant to the Soviet Union, the Trident is there simply to put off countries that have nuclear weapon from attacking the UK.

I do not deny that the UK or US has been agressive toward Iran however Iran has also been agressive toward the UK and US so you cant really say that this is the fault of the UK or US.

Whether or not Iran has been 'pushed around by the UN', as you claim h@ts, doesn't really have precident here. The simple fact is that this whole Iranian nuclear programme argument could have been avoided if Iran had been willing to cooperate with the UN inspectors and shown them every aspect of their nuclear programme.

Let us not forget that Iran are the ones who claim that their Nuclear programme is simply for peaceful uses however when asked to show the evdence for this claim they refused. If it is for peaceful uses then Iran should allow the inspector to see their whole programme if only to put the countries that are worried about Iran nuclear capabilities at ease.

The final thing is that the UN is made up of 192 different countries of which include the UK, US, and yes even Iran. Every country that in a member of the UN that has Nuclear weapon has them inspected by the UN, every country in the UN that has nuclear capabilities has an inpection done by the UN, every country except Iran. What makes them any different? Why should they be exempt from ispection when every other country that has a nuclear programme isn't?

To many it may seem that this Nuclear arguement a UK and US vs. Iran issue, it isn't, it is a UN thing, something that is supposed to happen that Iran has refuse to allow to happen. The fact the you know that the US is developing a new nuclear weapon and the the UK are updating theirs shows that they are following UN guidelines. It shows that they are being open and honest with their nuclear programmes and allowing the UN to do its job.

Iran on the other hand refused to let the UN do its job and subsequently have put themselves in a undesirable position within the UN and have recently lost a vote in the UN which means that sanctions are going to be placed on Iran nuclear programme itself, lost the vote unnanimously I might add.

There is no problem with Iran having nuclear capabilities if they are honest and inform the UN what exactly they plan to do with their nuclear capabilities.

Reply To this Message

Posted by: h@ts

quote:
oneofpeace said this in post #44 :It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see what’s going on here and it appears you’re being less than honest.


Since when has it been easy to figure out who's doing what in the Gulf? Considering the amount we've interfered politically and militarily in the region it's almost like many western countries think we own the place, to do with and shape however we see fit.

quote:
I find it funny how you can earnestly condemn your country and mine while seemingly living the benefit of the doubt to Iran?


See my previous post - Blair lies. Bush lies. Ahmandinejad lies.

quote:
As more information unfolds about what’s happened, it’s becoming clear that Iran is lying.


Or if you actually want to be honest and see this incident in anything but b&w terms, it's still not clear who is lying.

I think Iran should hand these sailors back. I also think Blair has completely botched this incident. So much so the UN seems reluctant to fully support him, and the US is staying well out of it.
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Posted by: oneofpeace

quote:
h@ts wrote
Since when has it been easy to figure out who's doing what in the Gulf?

then says..
Considering the amount we've interfered politically and militarily in the region it's almost like many western countries think we own the


I find this to be somewhat of a double standard. On one hand you say how do we know, then you point to how we know the West has agendas in that region.

Plainly put, we know the West has agendas in the region because of their actions. Likewise, we know Iran’s has agendas by theirs. Now, I’d be the first to call a spade a spade. Bush and company are wrong on many levels but it doesn’t automatically make Iran’s claims credible.

Weigh the story and you can come to a reasonable conclusion that mostly likely, Iran is lying in this particular instance.

quote:

Or if you actually want to be honest and see this incident in anything but b&w terms, it's still not clear who


The British presented evidence with GPS coordinance showing where the sailors were accosted. Iran is showing soldiers under duress saying “yeah we entered Iranian water”. I can see how you can come to the conclusion that it’s still not clear.

quote:

I think Iran should hand these sailors back. I also think Blair has completely botched this incident. So much so the UN seems reluctant to fully support him, and the US is staying well out of it.


Botched this incident? How? Their soldiers were accosted and the world told they were in Iranian waters. Blair has told the world they were in Iraqi waters and Iraq has backed this summation. Are you blaming him for going to the UN?

You know h@ts, you say that you are neutral many times but your postings don’t reflect such a position. In as much, I can say that you’ll never blame anyone but the US and Briton for everything, but then again, maybe I’m lying too right?
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Posted by: h@ts

quote:
White Tiger said this in post #45 :
I have never denied the UK or US hostilities towards Iran however Iran has been openly been hostile to many countries and are seen as a treat by many countries in the Gulf, not just by the UK or US.


In polls carried out world wide the United States - the country that bombed the crap out of Afghanistan and Iraq, where 650,000 people have since died - is considered by many to be the most serious threat to world peace. A difficult concept to get you're head round unless you've been on the receiving end of the laughable nick-named, MOABs, the mother of all bombs! Nice.

quote:
A trident nuclear intercontinetal balistic missile has never been fire in anger and has only ever been employed in a defensive position.


Saying they are only employed in a defensive position means nothing. We can either fire them or not. Which gives us the capability to annihilate whole cities. That capacity to destroy countries is a powerful threat to possess and if anyone wants to know how seriously a country is taken that has that capacity, compare Iraq and North Korea.

quote:
The trident was developed during the Cold War as a deterant to the Soviet Union, the Trident is there simply to put off countries that have nuclear weapon from attacking the UK.


So is it okay for Iran to build the bomb just so long as they paint the words "use only in defense" on the side of them?

quote:
I do not deny that the UK or US has been agressive toward Iran however Iran has also been agressive toward the UK and US so you cant really say that this is the fault of the UK or US.


What we've done to Iran over the decades and what they have done to us is not comparable. Same goes for Iraq. Same goes for Saudi Arabia etc.

quote:
The simple fact is that this whole Iranian nuclear programme argument could have been avoided if Iran had been willing to cooperate with the UN inspectors and shown them every aspect of their nuclear programme.


But they haven't. Do you propose we bomb them, invade the country, destabalise the place, turn it into the rogue state we already think it is? Or how about we set a president and say no country should be allowed to possess nukes and stop being so hypocritical about it.

quote:
Let us not forget that Iran are the ones who claim that their Nuclear programme is simply for peaceful uses however when asked to show the evdence for this claim they refused.


You're right, they should. And because of the debacle in Iraq the US is in no position to force them to open up their facilities.

quote:
Why should they be exempt from ispection when every other country that has a nuclear programme isn't?


Again you're right. They should not be exempt.

quote:
It shows that they are being open and honest with their nuclear programmes and allowing the UN to do its job.


It's easy to be open and honest about your nukes once you have them, in fact it'd be pretty stupid having them and not making sure the whole world knew you had them.

quote:
Iran on the other hand refused to let the UN do its job and subsequently have put themselves in a undesirable position within the UN and have recently lost a vote in the UN which means that sanctions are going to be placed on Iran nuclear programme itself, lost the vote unnanimously I might add.


The neocons have been chomping at the bit for regime change in Iran since they came to power. If it wasn't the nuke issue it'd be something else. Iraq didn't even have any WMD and they got obliterated.
Reply To this Message

Posted by: h@ts

quote:
oneofpeace said this in post #47 :
Weigh the story and you can come to a reasonable conclusion that mostly likely, Iran is lying in this particular instance.


You're not weighing anything. You don't hide the fact that you hate Iran. Don't pretend you are weighing evidence and seeing how it balances.

quote:
The British presented evidence with GPS coordinance showing where the sailors were accosted.


The Iranians did likewise, and the sailors admitted they were in Iranian water. Whether or not the Iranians were lying or that the sailors were coerced into saying what they said, I had no way of knowing. But then I automatically didn't just think we must be telling the truth. Blair has a habit of lying. I rarely even bother listening to him anymore.

Then it came out that the borders on these waters have been disputed for years, something that should have meant the British used tact instead of blowing their stack by a good mile when the initial incident happened. We turned what could have been a simple border incident into a political nightmare, where the Iranians have made us look stupid. Answer this question: how did making demands on national television that we couldn't back up help those sailors?

quote:
Iran is showing soldiers under duress saying “yeah we entered Iranian water”. I can see how you can come to the conclusion that it’s still not clear.


I presume this happened. You seem to magically know it happened.

quote:
Botched this incident? How? Their soldiers were accosted and the world told they were in Iranian waters. Blair has told the world they were in Iraqi waters and Iraq has backed this summation. Are you blaming him for going to the UN?


If we want the sailors back we can be smart or stupid. So far we've veered on the side of stupidity.

quote:
you’ll never blame anyone but the US and Briton for everything, but then again, maybe I’m lying too right? [/B]


What are you talking about? I blame the Iranians for not giving the sailors back. That they are still captive is an indisputable fact, and Iran is playing a dangerous political game.
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Posted by: White Tiger

Also oneofpeace you have to add that Iran have refused to let the UK, Iraq, UN or Turkey have any contact with the british personnel held in Tehran so all we are getting out of Iran is their side of the story and occaisonal television coverage from Iranian TV which it truthfullness is highley questionable.

There is also speculation that Iran is manipulating the situation, forcing the British personnel to write letter specifically edited by the Iranian powers and foring the British personnel in front of Television cameras when the British government told them not to.

Due now to Iran seemingly refusing to work with the UK in resolving this issue the UK has gone to the UN to ask for assistance, he UN have called for Iran to release the personnel, and Iran has sent the British government a letter acusing them of making this issuean international issue rather than just an issue between UK and Iran by going to the UN.

Iran dont seem to be behaving like a country that has done nothing wrong.

Reply To this Message

Posted by: White Tiger