| Posted by: EUCLID | | There is a good chance that the Democrats will win control of congress in the mid-term elections. If they do, we will certainly pull out of Iraq soon. Democrats widely contend that it is our military presence in Iraq that is causing the violence there. If that is true, it stands to reason that our pullout will lead to peace.
But here is my question: If we soon pull out of Iraq and the situations does not improve, or gets worse, who’s fault will it be? Will it be the fault of those who decided to pull out, or those who decided to go in? Certainly we can all agree on the answer to this question. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #1 :
But here is my question: If we soon pull out of Iraq and the situations does not improve, or gets worse, who’s fault will it be? Will it be the fault of those who decided to pull out, or those who decided to go in? Certainly we can all agree on the answer to this question. |
There has been something like 160,000 coalition troops in Iraq for over three years and the situation has been getting steadily worse. Now the head of the British military has stated quite clearly (and Blair agreed through tightly gritted teeth) that our presence there is exacerbating the violence in many areas.
Thousands are dying every month. There is a civil war going on. OUr presense is not wanted by either side in this war. Iraqis support attacks against us. A majority wants us gone. For you to suggest that we are preventing things from getting worse is a false proposition. It is getting worse.
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| Posted by: lodgebo | | How exactly could it get any worse? Terrorists still are not being rounded up ( well not the ones that matter), you have race wars going on, talk of the country being split in 3 which will turn Iraq into Yugoslavia 2, a government that has no control over it's people, and an army that could not fight it's way out of a paper bag. And all this si the coalitions idea of things getting better when we know it's getting worse the UK today said they are sending more troops to Iraq hardly a sign that we are ready to pull our or cut down on troops. Iraq is a tar pit and we are stuck either way. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: EUCLID | | h@ts and lodgebo,
Go back and re-read my first post. I never said that it was not getting worse. I never said that our presence was preventing it from getting worse. In fact, the only position I took was the belief that we are highly likely to pull out soon while the violence is underway.
My point is about the people who want us out because they contend that it is our presence that is causing the problem. So if our presence is the cause of the problem, it follows that our exit will fix the problem. Now certainly you agree with that. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: lodgebo | | Firstly you were speculating that it could get worse if you pull out and I was saying that it could not get any worse, that is beside the point though.
As for what you are assuming it is never that simple and you know that. Firstly yes thare are factions in Iraq fighting US forces nothing more nothing less and most likely if the US go they will go and see it as a huge victory. Howevere there are other forces not fighting the the US but most probably caused by the coalitions arrogance, pig headedness and blindness to the problems the liberation of Iraq would create. Those that are against democracy in Iraq, the hardcore Sadamm supporters, and those there either in Iraq just for the hell of it, relgious ideology or those trying and make a bit of dough with a failed kidnapping. it is doubtful they will go they need a reason to go and right now they are not bothered with the coalition so they won't go and if the coalition leave they won't go because nothing will have changed for them.
See I know that there are elctions in the States and there are going to be activists and others trying to convince Americans about the rights and wrongs of Iraq but the problems is that neither one of your parties is offering a viable solution to this tar pit. Democrats want troops out and apparently all problems will cease well that is not true so that policy is flawed the Republicans want to stay the course but the course has been a disaster for the US economy and miltary recruitment and morale in short they can't beat the terrorists and that is the fact and nothing that happens between now and the elections can change that does not matter if Sadamm is found guilty and then OBL is caught it won't solve any of Iraqs problems only escalate them. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: Lawless | |
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Dekka00 said this in post #4 :
Pulling out doesn't work.
...................... |
Well, that's not what desperate men claim, in the heat of passion! 
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| Posted by: HECK! | |
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Dekka00 said this in post #4 :
Pulling out doesn't work.
...................... |
Should have known you'd beat me to it. That lay up wouldn't stay in the air forever.
-HECK!
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| Posted by: Lawless | |
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HECK! said this in post #8 :
Should have known you'd beat me to it. That lay up wouldn't stay in the air forever.
-HECK! |
'bout time someone "rose to the occasion" before you! 
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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lodgebo said this in post #6 :
Firstly you were speculating that it could get worse if you pull out and I was saying that it could not get any worse, that is beside the point though.
Democrats want troops out and apparently all problems will cease well that is not true so that policy is flawed... |
In #6, I was replying to both you and h@ts together, but I see that you believe the Iraq situation cannot get any worse and h@ts contends that it is getting worse. What I believe is that it is possible for it to get better, get worse, or stay the same.
But my point is about the Democrats and much of the political left's charge that peace will come to Iraq once we pull out, as you have suggested in the above quote. They charge that the U.S. and coalition military presence in Iraq is actually the cause of the violence. h@ts even suggested the other day that the U.S. might be intentionally fomenting violence in order to prolong the war for war profiteering.
There is no question in my mind that we are going to cut-and-run from Iraq soon. So the ones contending that peace will come when we leave Iraq will get a chance to have their prediction of peace tested. They will either be right or wrong.
I believe that Iraq will largely self-destruct in civil war as soon as we pull out. I will either be right or wrong.
I think we can all agree on this.
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| Posted by: HECK! | | Cut-and-run? Is that what the defeatists want so the 'suiciders' win? Can we get past the Bush buzz word propaganda machine. It's like FOX News is breading millions of Manchurian candidates this November.
Whether the U.S. took out Saddam or a meteor dropped on his palace there was going to be a power struggle once he was taken out. Don't let the purple fingers fool you, democratic it ain't.
The Dubya administration has tried, failed, tried and failed some more to bring stability to the region and it has become increasingly worse. The problem you have identified in Iraq is the direct result of the piss poor management of this baseless operation. Now the right contends that if we don't clean up crap storm we started then it will get worse? Well look at the writing on the wall, it's worse. Hell, if we stay there long enough there won't be any Iraqi's left to worry about.
I have yet to see anyone even begin to formulate something close to a reason to stay over there, not to mention going over there in the first place.
And to cover up the mistakes the right tries to scare up more support my saying the left wants to cut-and-run. Sorry, that band-aid isn't going to hold.
-HECK! | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: lodgebo | | The fact is Euclid is that Iraq is slipping in to a civil war and that has happend on our watch so either way we have faile the people we were meant to bring a better life to.
I agree with Heck it was poor management and we never had a plan B I thinkBush hioneslty thought that Sadamm would fall and he could drive through Baghdad and people would throw flowers at him. I think the coalition forget about the 6 P's rule - Proper Planning Prevents Piss Poor Performance. Proper planning means having a back up plan.
I was reading that some guy is going to recomend to Bush that troops pull out of Iraq ASAP. It's in a report due to be published soon. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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HECK! said this in post #11 :
Cut-and-run? Is that what the defeatists want so the 'suiciders' win?
I have yet to see anyone even begin to formulate something close to a reason to stay over there,...
...the right tries to scare up more support my saying the left wants to cut-and-run. Sorry, that band-aid isn't going to hold.
-HECK! |
Well if the term, "cut-and-run"sounds too accusatory, I can use the term, "end the Iraq engagement" or "bring the troops home." I could have sworn that was the basic desire of most Democrats. Bush wants to stay the course. Don't most Democrats disagree with Bush?
What would you do today about the Iraq situation if you had absolute power?
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #13 :
Well if the term, "cut-and-run"sounds too accusatory, I can use the term, "end the Iraq engagement" or "bring the troops home." I could have sworn that was the basic desire of most Democrats. Bush wants to stay the course. Don't most Democrats disagree with Bush?
What would you do today about the Iraq situation if you had absolute power? |
Why not do exactly what the Iraq people want us to do, and overwhelmingly they want us out of their country. Isn't that what democracy is all about? (seems it is only when it suits us).
I'm sure this is how many Democrats see the situation. Bush can't leave because he's yapped on and on so much about "staying the course" when he hasn't got a clue what it even means. To him getting out means only one thing - accepting defeat. And so Bush would rather a lot more soldiers died than having to face the awful inevitable truth that he's going to go down in history as as the President that took the US into another Vietnam.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #14 :
Why not do exactly what the Iraq people want us to do, and overwhelmingly they want us out of their country. |
OK, say we pull out tomorrow, and most of the Iraqi people are glad to see us leave. What happens next in Iraq? Please select one of the following:
1) The country either descends further into full civil war, or the current level of violence continues.
2) The country stabilizes into peace.
3) Other (please explain).
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #15 :
OK, say we pull out tomorrow, and most of the Iraqi people are glad to see us leave. What happens next in Iraq? Please select one of the following:
1) The country either descends further into full civil war, or the current level of violence continues.
2) The country stabilizes into peace.
3) Other (please explain). |
The country is in a state of civil war and it isn't going to stop if we leave and it isn't going to stop if we stay so 1 seems the likely outcome.
The question Bush should be asking himself is what difference does our presence make? And according to the man in charge of the British army - we exacerbate the violence. If the same can be said for the US military presence then we have only one choice - get out. Is this hard to understand?
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| Posted by: HECK! | | Well, we were so worried about Vietnam falling to the commie's we had a whole big ol' war there. We left. Commies took over. Result: BFD.
Except Viet-freakin'-Nam didn't have any oil in it... 
-HECK! | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #16 :
The country is in a state of civil war and it isn't going to stop if we leave and it isn't going to stop if we stay so 1 seems the likely outcome.
The question Bush should be asking himself is what difference does our presence make? And according to the man in charge of the British army - we exacerbate the violence. If the same can be said for the US military presence then we have only one choice - get out. Is this hard to understand? |
Well it is a little hard to understand. On one hand, you believe in my option #1 which says the violence will continue or get worse. On the other hand, you believe the man in charge of the British army who says our Iraq presence exacerbates the problem. If that is true, it follows that our pulling out will improve the situation in Iraq.
So I seems that you are saying that if we pull our of Iraq, things will get better and worse. Help me out here.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #18 :
Help me out here. |
If Iraq continues the way it has for the last 3 years then it is going to get worse. If we are not there exacerbating the security problem and violence then the worse is less than it would be, but still worse.
Don't worry though, we are not getting out. Our insane Prime Minister, Blair continues to bleat that we are there until "the job is done". He will therefore be able to leave office without ever having to admit to himself that his policy was a disaster. That poison challice will belong to some other chump. Same goes for Bush.
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| Posted by: lodgebo | | Just toi clarify Dannat ( head of UK army)( did nopt say that the British presence axcabrates the problems in Iraq he said the British presence in Iraq excabrates gloabl issues regarding terrorism. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: oneofpeace | | It never ceases to amaze how so many blind right-winged devotees fail to acknowledge simple basic facts. Whatever the answer to peace in Iraq is, it’s painfully, painfully obvious that Bush is NOT it.
This entire Iraq fiasco is the biggest cluster-fudge (not for lack of a better word) and quite frankly I find it insulting that this idiot that got us stuck in this dilemma tells America to believe the notion that democrats would fail? My God, what more do you want to see?
What people now want is change and the best way to achieve that is not to continue with the bungling buffoon that landed us in this mess in the first place. All Bush has demonstrate during his tenure is one disastrous failure to the next, from 9/11 to this perpetual Iraq debacle. So what in carnation would ever posses a reasonably sound mind that we will ever, EVER see anything different with this clown in charge? | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: HECK! | | Agreed, oneofpeace. What's worse is the agenda of fear the administration uses to fuel their party. It's deplorable. It's like the Ike Turner syndrome. Get smacked around and come back for more.
-HECK! | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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oneofpeace said this in post #21 :
It never ceases to amaze how so many blind right-winged devotees fail to acknowledge simple basic facts. Whatever the answer to peace in Iraq is, it’s painfully, painfully obvious that Bush is NOT it.
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I'm not so sure it is that obvious.
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| Posted by: oneofpeace | |
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Oneofpeace says
It never ceases to amaze how so many blind right-winged devotees fail to acknowledge simple basic facts. Whatever the answer to peace in Iraq is, it’s painfully, painfully obvious that Bush is NOT it.
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To which Euclid replied
I'm not so sure it is that obvious
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I rest my case 
:disbelief:
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| Posted by: h@ts | | Civil war is raging in Iraq. Sunni insurgents and Shia death squads (many in the police force) are fighting for supremacy and control. Ethnic cleansing, torture, kidnapping, terrorist attacks etc have become daily life for millions of Iraqis.
Bush's government didn't have or was never prepared to see the casualty figures it saw in Vietnam, so didn't send enough troops, and so the country has been left to slide into a living hell.
The only question for the US government now is what is the least worst scenario that American can aim for in Iraq? The Shia have the numbers and the government influence and power to win this civil war so should we back them to bring an end to it quicker? It did after all only took Saddam Hussein 6 months to bring the Shia uprising to an end after the first gulf war. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #27 :
Civil war is raging in Iraq.
The Shia have the numbers and the government influence and power to win this civil war so should we back them to bring an end to it quicker? |
I would say, no. With the onset of civil war, it is a lost cause and a reason to leave. Another reason to leave is the election results mandate. As far as the U.S. involvment in the Iraq conflict goes, the U.S. has lost and the war is over.
Of course, there is always the possibilty of redemption with one of the plans being cooked up for a change in direction. I understand that one such plan calls for bringing Iran and Syria in to help fix Iraq. That sure sounds like a winner. Maybe North Korea would like to lend a hand.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #28 :
[B]
I would say, no. With the onset of civil war, it is a lost cause and a reason to leave. Another reason to leave is the election results mandate. As far as the U.S. involvment in the Iraq conflict goes, the U.S. has lost and the war is over. |
Civil war is already being waged in Iraq. Supporting one side is a choice, and choices are severely limited. I wouldn't be surprised if this isn't already happening, and it's not uncommon for us to take such an action - the prime example in Iraq being our support for Saddam Hussein.
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| Of course, there is always the possibilty of redemption with one of the plans being cooked up for a change in direction. I understand that one such plan calls for bringing Iran and Syria in to help fix Iraq. That sure sounds like a winner. |
"Staying the course" has failed and would continue to fail for all kinds of reasons. You don't think the James Baker plan is worth even thinking about?
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #30 :
Civil war is already being waged in Iraq. Supporting one side is a choice, and choices are severely limited. I wouldn't be surprised if this isn't already happening, and it's not uncommon for us to take such an action - the prime example in Iraq being our support for Saddam Hussein.
"Staying the course" has failed and would continue to fail for all kinds of reasons. You don't think the James Baker plan is worth even thinking about? |
No, I think the Baker plan is certainly worth considering, but I have not heard what it is yet.
We could take sides in the civil war, but the shear political incorrectness of that would be crushing. The critics would never stop howling about the unfairness of our taking sides in another country's civil war.
Right now we have two potential choices. Either we fight to win or we cut our losses and get out. The election proves that there is not enough support to fight to win, so the only choice is to cut our losses and get out.
I have no way of knowing what the facts on the ground are in Iraq. I am not there, and I don't trust any source of information on the topic. However, I do know the facts of the collective U.S. support for the Iraq conflict. There is not enough support to continue the effort in Iraq. So to succeed, we need a plan that will convince the non-supporters to change their minds.
I suppose one way to stop a civil war is to show up with a lot of expensive gifts.
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| Posted by: oneofpeace | |
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Sayzak said this in post #29 :
It's funny how blind everyone, with a disposition, becomes. |
Care to elaborate further?
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #31 :
Right now we have two potential choices. Either we fight to win or we cut our losses and get out. The election proves that there is not enough support to fight to win, so the only choice is to cut our losses and get out.
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I don't get what this "fight to win" option is you're talking about. Who do we fight to win? The government and security forces have been infiltrated by sectarian forces at all levels of the government and security, and the Sunnis are in a civil war against them.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #33 :
I don't get what this "fight to win" option is you're talking about. Who do we fight to win? The government and security forces have been infiltrated by sectarian forces at all levels of the government and security, and the Sunnis are in a civil war against them. |
By fight to win, I simply mean do more of what we are doing. If it is a civil war, then our fight would be to stop it. Fight to win means to stabilize Iraq by force. The force is the fight.
I'm not advocating that approach by the way. I think our only choice is to get out fast. We don't have the support to fight on with any kind of fighting strategy, so we only have one option. I like how it is so clear all of a sudden.
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| Posted by: oneofpeace | | The question should be is this fight winnable? Right now we are doing the exact same thing the Soviets were doing in Afghanistan and Iran is doing what we’ve done to the Soviets, supply the enemy with weapons.
The fact that Bush’s appearing as nothing more than a liar is fueling the Al Qaeda recruitment centers, maybe the question should be how do we withdraw without sinking Iraq into a worse hell than currently exist there?
Seems like world leaders learn absolutely nothing about the past or believe they are the exception to the rule. Either way, it proves to be a disaster. Iraq is the epitome of this arrogance. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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oneofpeace said this in post #35 :
the question should be how do we withdraw without sinking Iraq into a worse hell than currently exist there? |
Exactly. And "staying on course" has only ever been about continuing in the same one direction - a worsening crisis in Iraq. The fact that Bush is asking for ideas now is like a breathe of fresh air after years of heads in the sand denial.
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| Seems like world leaders learn absolutely nothing about the past or believe they are the exception to the rule. Either way, it proves to be a disaster. Iraq is the epitome of this arrogance. |
Cheney should have been fired along with Rumsfeld. No one in the Bush admin has been more duplicitous and warped by their own arrogance and thinking than this man.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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oneofpeace said this in post #35 :
The question should be is this fight winnable?
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Yes that is the question, however, it is a two-part question:
1) Is it winnable logistically in Iraq?
2) Is there sufficient popular and political support in the U.S. to attempt to win?
The answer to #1 will never be known because the answer to #2 is, no.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #37 :
Yes that is the question, however, it is a two-part question:
1) Is it winnable logistically in Iraq?
2) Is there sufficient popular and political support in the U.S. to attempt to win?
The answer to #1 will never be known because the answer to #2 is, no. |
Too many people, many of them in the military, believe and have said the answer to 1 is clearly no. Without hearts and minds (or in other words cooperation) the military cannot achieve anything in Iraq other than becoming more unpopular and more of a target.
So regardless of how much popular and political support there is and was in the U.S. it is worse continuing along a line going wrong than to change direction.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #38 :
Too many people, many of them in the military, believe and have said the answer to 1 is clearly no. Without hearts and minds (or in other words cooperation) the military cannot achieve anything in Iraq other than becoming more unpopular and more of a target.
So regardless of how much popular and political support there is and was in the U.S. it is worse continuing along a line going wrong than to change direction. |
Regardless of what anybody believes, the anwer to #1 will never be learned if winning is not attempted. But because of what people believe, winning will not be attempted. I certainly agree that a change of course is the only alternative, but there is only one course to change to.
I don't understand why you say, "So regardless of how much popular and politcal support there is and was in the U.S.....", and then, in your first paragraph say, "Without hearts and minds the military cannot achieve anything in Iraq..." It seems like you are saying that political and popular support are a factor and are not a factor.
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| Posted by: lodgebo | | Until you win over a vast majority of Iraqi people then the mission is doomed. I think that is what H@ts meant by hearts and minds. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #39 :
Regardless of what anybody believes, the anwer to #1 will never be learned if winning is not attempted. But because of what people believe, winning will not be attempted. I certainly agree that a change of course is the only alternative, but there is only one course to change to. |
It would be lunacy to disregard the swell of opinion that believes Iraq cannot be won militarily. Eventually it must become wrong to throw troops at a problem if you don't think those troops have any chance of success.
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| I don't understand why you say, "So regardless of how much popular and politcal support there is and was in the U.S.....", and then, in your first paragraph say, "Without hearts and minds the military cannot achieve anything in Iraq..." It seems like you are saying that political and popular support are a factor and are not a factor. |
I'm talking about the popular and politcal support in the US, and the hearts and minds point is regarding how Iraqis feel.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #41 :
It would be lunacy to disregard the swell of opinion that believes Iraq cannot be won militarily.
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Absolutely. And the swell of opinion will not be ignored. The will that is represented by that swell of opinion is already being carried out.
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| Posted by: oneofpeace | | Euclid
Look Euclid. What else do you need to see regarding Iraq to realize it’s nothing more than a stalemate? How long would you suggest we stay in Iraq, until we win?
I don’t know what more you need to see. After 4 yrs, it’s obvious that this situation will persist and there’s no end in sight. Iraqis are not losing faith in our ability to provide them security. Without Iraqi support, we are nothing more than an occupying military force in their country.
All battles cannot be won on the battlefield with might, even Bush has now come to realize this. However, if this is not obvious to you by now, then I’m afraid you’re beyond hope here buddy. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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oneofpeace said this in post #43 :
Euclid
Look Euclid. What else do you need to see regarding Iraq to realize it’s nothing more than a stalemate? How long would you suggest we stay in Iraq, until we win?
I don’t know what more you need to see. After 4 yrs, it’s obvious that this situation will persist and there’s no end in sight. Iraqis are not losing faith in our ability to provide them security. Without Iraqi support, we are nothing more than an occupying military force in their country.
All battles cannot be won on the battlefield with might, even Bush has now come to realize this. However, if this is not obvious to you by now, then I’m afraid you’re beyond hope here buddy. |
Beyond hope? What do you want me to believe?
You are arguing against a position that does not exist with me. It sounds like you believe my position is that we need to stay in Iraq and press for victory. I have no idea whether or not such an outcome is possible. However, the election results take that option off the table. The argument over whether to stay and fight, or withdraw ended on 11/7. Clearly, the only option now is to withraw, and that option will transpire. At least we do not have to bear the humilitation of surrender, even though withdrawl will equal defeat.
A lot of the political left contend that the violence in Iraq is solely due to our presence there. If they are right, withdrawl will be a win-win for everybody.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #44 :
The argument over whether to stay and fight, or withdraw ended on 11/7. Clearly, the only option now is to withraw, and that option will transpire. At least we do not have to bear the humilitation of surrender, even though withdrawl will equal defeat. |
The US must withdraw. How long that takes and how it's done is now at least something even Bush believes has to be discussed. He invited James Baker to come up with new ideas. That Baker did, and one of the options he will present is involving Iran and Syria. Blair apparently backs the plan, along with a concerted effort to push the peace process in the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. All this sounds good to me.
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| Posted by: oneofpeace | |
| quote: |
Euclid wrote
Regardless of what anybody believes, the anwer to #1 will never be learned if winning is not attempted….
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Pardon me for saying so but this sound to me like you want to continue fighting in Iraq with Bush leading the way no less. I know part of the denial syndrome is that Bush is republican but the reality of the situation is that he’s done a very poor job of managing a needless war he stubbornly got us into in the first place.
Let’s inject some reality in here for a moment shall we? We have an enemy in Iraq that is fighting by different rules. They have no guidelines of the Geneva Convention to abide by. They act with total distain and absolutely without any morals or ethics. They have thousands willing to die for their twisted beliefs. You kill one, 5 more pop up. They absolutely refuse to stop at nothing, hide among civilians and are not easily detectable.
How do you win such a fight with people like this? They fight amongst themselves in similar fashion and have been for many decades. So what option do you have, to keep coming at them with bigger guns or use diplomacy? Diplomacy is certainly something that’s sorely lacking in this administration.
The answer is political. You cannot invade a country, occupy it and expect for there to not be any resistance. History has proven this over and over again. Many greater men than you have learned this lesson the hard way. Why on God’s green earth would you believe that America is the exception to this rule?
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| Posted by: Sayzak | |
| quote: |
oneofpeace said this in post #32 :
Care to elaborate further? |
It's an observation... about people who have a disposition. Take two guesses at what those dispositions may be and you will have all the elaboration you need.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #45 :
The US must withdraw. How long that takes and how it's done is now at least something even Bush believes has to be discussed. He invited James Baker to come up with new ideas. That Baker did, and one of the options he will present is involving Iran and Syria. Blair apparently backs the plan, along with a concerted effort to push the peace process in the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. All this sounds good to me. |
Getting Iran and Syria involved in fixing Iraq sounds bizarre to me. I mean really bizarre.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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oneofpeace said this in post #46 :
Pardon me for saying so but this sound to me like you want to continue fighting in Iraq with Bush leading the way no less.
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I am not saying that at all. When I say that the answer to #1 will never be known if winning is not attempted, it means only what it says. It is fine to choose whether to stay or leave, but if you leave, you cannot possibly know what would have happened if you had stayed. That's all I am saying. It's just logic.
I am certainly not advocating that we should continue the fight. It is not even an option. That horse left the barn last Tuesday. The argument about the war is really over, and the winners of that argument will have to live with the consequences. It is easy for me.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #49 :
Getting Iran and Syria involved in fixing Iraq sounds bizarre to me. I mean really bizarre. |
A failed state in Iraq may not ultimately be such a good thing for either Syria or Iran so there is always that incentive to encourage them to help the US.
But Iran and Syria also know that while the US is stuck in the Iraq quagmire it is much less of a threat to them too, so the cost to America to get Iran or Syria to help is going to be very high. What has Bush to bargain with?
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| Posted by: HECK! | | Bush can probably grease the wheels with the UN and lift or install sanctions that could make life easier or harder in Syria or Iran. Plus, never forget the proxy agression through Israel.
-HECK! | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #51 :
But Iran and Syria also know that while the US is stuck... so the cost to America to get Iran or Syria to help is going to be very high. What has Bush to bargain with? |
He has nothing. He has been defeated; has no call.
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| Posted by: h@ts | | Interesting article in the Guardian (highlights below). In a nutshell, the journalist is saying we have nothing to bargain with with Tehran and they know it. If Bush and Blair "really want help in this part of the world they must start from diplomatic ground zero. They will have to stop the holier-than-thou name-calling and the pretence that they hold any cards."
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Why stop the Great Satan? He's driving himself to hell
For axis of evil, read axis of hope.
If I were Tehran I would still wait. I would sit back, fold my arms and watch my tormentors sweat. I would watch the panic in Washington and London as body bags pile up, generals mutter mutiny, alliances fall apart and electors cut and run.
For the moment, denial still rules. In America last week I was shocked at how unaware even anti-war Americans are (like many Britons) of the depth of the predicament in Iraq. They compare it with Vietnam or the Balkans - but it is not the same. It is total anarchy. All sentences beginning, "What we should now do in Iraq ... " are devoid of meaning. We are in no position to do anything. We have no potency; that is the definition of anarchy.
To talk of a collapse into civil war if "we leave" Iraq is to completely misread the chaos into which that country has descended under our rule. It implies a model of order wholly absent on the ground. Foreign soldiers can stay in their bases, but they will no more "prevent civil war" than they can "import democracy". They are relevant only as target practice for insurgents and recruiting sergeants for al-Qaida. The occupation of Iraq has passed from brutality to mere idiocy.
Bush and Blair are men in a hurry, and such men lose wars. If there is a game plan in Tehran it will be to play Iraq long. Why stop the Great Satan when he is driving himself to hell in a handcart? If London and Washington really want help in this part of the world they must start from diplomatic ground zero. They will have to stop the holier-than-thou name-calling and the pretence that they hold any cards. They will have to realise that this war has lost them all leverage in the region. They can insult and sanction and threaten. But there is nothing left for them to "do" but leave. They are no longer the subject of that mighty verb, only its painful object.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentis...1948057,00.html |
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #54 :
...the journalist is saying we have nothing to bargain with with Tehran and they know it. If Bush and Blair "really want help in this part of the world they must start from diplomatic ground zero. They will have to stop the holier-than-thou name-calling and the pretence that they hold any cards."
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If they don't hold any cards, what is the point of bargaining?
The Democrats have been demanding that we get out of Iraq for years. Now they are in charge and they are dragging their feet because they are afraid of the political reprecussions if we pull out and things get worse. Get worse? Come on! They have told us that our presence is causing the problem. Now they drag their feet. They want to have it both ways. I say, let's go here. End it now. It has been declared a lost cause. Why spill one more drop of blood over it? Bring the troops home for the holidays.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #55 :
If they don't hold any cards, what is the point of bargaining? |
He's talking about bargaining from a position of strength. We can follow the Baker plan and talk to Iran and Syria but we are doing it from a position of weakness.
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| The Democrats have been demanding that we get out of Iraq for years. Now they are in charge and they are dragging their feet because they are afraid of the political reprecussions if we pull out and things get worse. Get worse? Come on! They have told us that our presence is causing the problem. Now they drag their feet. They want to have it both ways. I say, let's go here. End it now. It has been declared a lost cause. Why spill one more drop of blood over it? Bring the troops home for the holidays. |
Bush is the President and the man in charge. And who's actually dragging their feet? How to resolve Iraq is not split along Dem/Rep/military lines. There are different and similar ideas coming from all sides and have been for a long time.
The last proposal I heard of was to increase troops by something like 20 - 40,000 and have one final push.
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| Posted by: h@ts | | "People here [Iran] feel that when it comes to Iraq and even Lebanon and Afghanistan, Britain and the US need them, not the other way round.
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Why the West needs Ahmadinejad
By Rageh Omaar in Tehran
Ahmadinejad represents a crucial break in Iranian politics – he is the first post-revolutionary who is not a cleric, he fought in the Iran-Iraq war, and crucially he is seen as not being corrupt.
If the West has underestimated his government's influence in Iraq and the region, they have also exaggerated his vulnerability here in Iran.
So it is hardly surprising that most ordinary Iranians are not hugely interested in Tony Blair's comments on Iraq, especially as he has said Iran would have to give up its nuclear enrichment programme before any talks – something every Iranian leader has said will not happen.
People here feel that when it comes to Iraq and even Lebanon and Afghanistan, Britain and the US need them, not the other way round.
What they want to know is what benefits does Iran get for such assistance?
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exe...62D0FD9F6C7.htm
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #56 :
He's talking about bargaining from a position of strength. We can follow the Baker plan and talk to Iran and Syria but we are doing it from a position of weakness.
Bush is the President and the man in charge. And who's actually dragging their feet? How to resolve Iraq is not split along Dem/Rep/military lines. There are different and similar ideas coming from all sides and have been for a long time.
The last proposal I heard of was to increase troops by something like 20 - 40,000 and have one final push. |
How can we be bargaining from a position of strength when we hold no cards? I don't get it.
Bush may be technically in charge as the Commander In Chief, but there is power sharing, and with Democrats controlling congress, they have more to say about the direction of Iraq than does Bush. They have been advocating for years that we end the conflict by pulling out. Many of them are now announcing their plans to implement that promise, and I don't hear them suggesting that they have to clear it with Bush.
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| Posted by: lodgebo | | surely it's not that simple does'nt Bush have to sign this off, I think what we will see is a trade off. More intense anti terror op's but no more troops being sent in and when your platoon's tour of duty is over that is it, all the while you start giving the Iraqi army more responsabilities while making agreements with the international force and possibly seeing who will take over as the leaders of the task force ( most likely UK).
The thing to remember is that there is no such thing as a quick total pullout the US has been in Iraq for near 5 - 6 years and as a result moving the hundred of thousands of troops, heavy machinery, dismantling of bases will take 2 years at least ( it took the UK 5 yeasr to get troops out of N.Ireland) when you consider that as the US try to leave the terrorists will still attack also thedre is the issue of transportation yes you can use some navy boats but does the US airforce have enough large personnel carriers to move that number of troops quickly. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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lodgebo said this in post #59 :
surely it's not that simple does'nt Bush have to sign this off, ... |
But it really is that simple. You can't wage a war when the majority of your population opposes the action. That opposition is the same as a defeat by the enemy. We lost the conflict somewhere along the way, and this was confirmed on 11/7. You can't have it both ways.
Oh I agree that withdrawl will be a big job, but the way forward is clear.
The Democrats are starting to sound like all their complaining about the war was merely a ploy to get re-elected, so they better put their money where their mouths are if they don't want to be called hyopocrites.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #60 :
[B]
But it really is that simple. You can't wage a war when the majority of your population opposes the action. That opposition is the same as a defeat by the enemy. We lost the conflict somewhere along the way, and this was confirmed on 11/7. You can't have it both ways. |
You're right, the US lost in Iraq a long time ago. It's taken a long time for the US public to realise, that's all.
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| The Democrats are starting to sound like all their complaining about the war was merely a ploy to get re-elected, so they better put their money where their mouths are if they don't want to be called hyopocrites. |
You're not actually surprised that Politicians say things, say anything even, merely to get re-elected, are you? Bush's spin meister, Karl Rove for one, is master of the art. The Republicans are so much better at it than the hopeless Democrats, as the last few years have proved.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #61 :
You're right, the US lost in Iraq a long time ago. It's taken a long time for the US public to realise, that's all.
You're not actually surprised that Politicians say things, say anything even, merely to get re-elected, are you? Bush's spin meister, Karl Rove for one, is master of the art. The Republicans are so much better at it than the hopeless Democrats, as the last few years have proved. |
We lost Iraq when the public came to believe it was lost. I note your casual dismissal of the sins of Democrats and your contention that the Republicans are better at craft of deceit than the Democrats.
But what about this? A civil war in iraq means there are two or more waring factions. Assuming that the same factions and their issues extend into Iran, why would the civil war in Iraq not readily spread into Iran? If it will, how will Iran prevent this?
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| Posted by: lodgebo | |
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EUCLID said this in post #62 :
But what about this? A civil war in iraq means there are two or more waring factions. Assuming that the same factions and their issues extend into Iran, why would the civil war in Iraq not readily spread into Iran? If it will, how will Iran prevent this? |
I can't see it happening firstly waht exactly would the warring factions gain from spreading the battle beyond thier own borders. Secondly Iran is a totally diffrent animal from fighting the locals I think a couple of attacks by the revolutionary guard would put a stop to naybody trying to bring Iran into a civil war and thirdly the social and political situation in Iran right now is stable hardly a recipie for a civl war is it.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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| EUCLID said this in post #62 :We lost Iraq when the public came to believe it was lost. |
Okay, it's a matter of opinion what won and lost are, but put it this way, it started going in the wrong direction over 2 years ago, and give or tack a few "turning points" it hasn't stopped getting worse since.
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| I note your casual dismissal of the sins of Democrats and your contention that the Republicans are better at craft of deceit than the Democrats. |
I don't dismiss the idea of Democratic sins, they are politicians and it's a dirty game but they are no competition for the Republicans and their ability to dish the dirt and get it to stick. Two prime examples off the top of my head: the Clinton Lewinsky campaign (which forced an American President into declaring to the whole world about a sordid little affair he had) and more recently the campaign by the Swift Boat crews against John Kerry.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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lodgebo said this in post #63 :
[COLOR=blue]waht exactly would the warring factions gain from spreading the battle beyond thier own borders? |
The same thing they have to gain in Iraq. One side wins supremacy over the other.
I heard that Iran has already warned the U.S. to not withdraw too soon for fear of the Iraq violence spreading into Iran. That is why I ask.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #64 :
Okay, it's a matter of opinion what won and lost are, but put it this way, it started going in the wrong direction over 2 years ago, and give or tack a few "turning points" it hasn't stopped getting worse since.
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The question of whether we are winning or losing in Iraq hinges on how well or poorly the fight seems to be going, and on whether there is public support based on the assessment of how well the fight appears to be going.
Prior to the election, the question of whether we were winning or losing was solely dependent on the collective perception of all observers. But the election added the component of tallying the actual public support, and it is insufficent. On 11/7, the public surrendered, so we lost the war.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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EUCLID said this in post #66 :
On 11/7, the public surrendered, so we lost the war. |
Yeah, I guess you've got to face up to a couple of home truths: you pick fights with third rate militaries in impoverished countries, you're going to lose! And you now know what it's like to be a cheese burger eating surrender monkey!
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| Posted by: HECK! | |
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EUCLID said this in post #66 :
The question of whether we are winning or losing in Iraq hinges on how well or poorly the fight seems to be going, and on whether there is public support based on the assessment of how well the fight appears to be going.
Prior to the election, the question of whether we were winning or losing was solely dependent on the collective perception of all observers. But the election added the component of tallying the actual public support, and it is insufficent. On 11/7, the public surrendered, so we lost the war. |
Or you could say on 11/7 the country woke up and decided that the wanted to correct the debacle in Iraq. See, you can only "Stay The Course" down the crapper for so long. Republicans had their shot, they f'd it up something fierce. For that they were summarily smacked down in the election.
-HECK!
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| Posted by: EUCLID | | Well it's over in Iraq, but now it's on to Darfur with the Democrats leading the charge no less. Apparently it is OK to pick fights with impoverished militaries in impoverished countries if you are a Democrat stopping genocide. At least it won't be Bush doing it, so it should go OK. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: lodgebo | | Well I think it's acrime that Darfur has been forgotten and somethiung needs to be done but they won't let the US in. If the refused the EU and UN and grudgingly let in the AU what chance do you have? | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: HECK! | | Sweet jeebus, stay out of the Sudan. Why get in the middle of more Muslim on Muslim wars in the desert. Talk about a cluster you-know-what.
-HECK! | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: lodgebo | | Well somebody has to go in there we can't idly sit by and let genocide take place can we. | | Reply To this Message
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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lodgebo said this in post #72 :
Well somebody has to go in there we can't idly sit by and let genocide take place can we. |
Has any country used the word "genocide" to describe Darfur. If politicians are reluctant to say the word, you know they don't want to get involved because we are bound by UN convention to stop genocide.
What strategic or economic interest do we have in Darfur? If the answer is none, then maybe that answers the question why has there been so much feet dragging and very little action in Darfur?
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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h@ts said this in post #73 :
Has any country used the word "genocide" to describe Darfur. If politicians are reluctant to say the word, you know they don't want to get involved because we are bound by UN convention to stop genocide.
What strategic or economic interest do we have in Darfur? If the answer is none, then maybe that answers the question why has there been so much feet dragging and very little action in Darfur? |
All U.S. news media coverage uses the word, "genocide" every single time they deliver a news segment on the topic of Darfur. There are also paid commercials or public service announcements that inform of the conflict, call on the U.S. to stop it, and actually seem to blame the genocide on Bush because he is not stopping it and could if he wanted to.
Do you seriously think that if we had economic interests in Darfur, that Bush could go in to stop genocide and not be blamed by the left for doing it to make him and his friends rich by exploiting those economic interests? I don't.
BUT THERE IS ONE THING MISSING HERE:
That would be an explanation of the reason that the two factions are fighting each other. I have looked high and low, and the answer to that question is missing in action. Everyone agrees that genocide is vile, but by its very nature of mass application, it cannot possibly be a crime of impulse. So if we owe the world an action to stop genocide, I think the very least the world owes us is an explanation of why the genocide is occurring.
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| Posted by: EUCLID | |
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lodgebo said this in post #75 :
Well let's stop it first and we can get the explanations later. |
I think it would be irresponsible to risk people's lives to try to intervene in a conflict without knowing the motives of the warring parties. If they are fighting over food, for example, we could maybe settle the conflict by giving them food. I want to know two things:
1) What is the motivation behind the genocide?
2) Why is the press not reporting it?
For that matter, without knowing the motive behind the conflict, I don't see how anybody can conclude that it is genocide.
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| Posted by: h@ts | |
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| EUCLID said this in post #74 :All U.S. news media coverage uses the word, "genocide" every single time they deliver a news segment on the topic of Darfur. There are also paid commercials or public service announcements that inform of the conflict, call on the U.S. to stop it, and actually seem to blame the genocide on Bush because he is not stopping it and could if he wanted to. |
It's irrelevant what the news media organisations call Darfur, it makes no difference officially as far as the UN are concerned. It has to be some kind of official statement from a goverment declaring genocide is occuring. Then countries are obliged to step in and stop it happening. In Rwanda the word genocide was very carefully avoided by politicians until it was all over. Then we all felt very guilty and said it would never happen again but you listen to how politicians in power describe Darfur and see if they avoid using the word genocide.
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| Do you seriously think that if we had economic interests in Darfur, that Bush could go in to stop genocide and not be blamed by the left for doing it to make him and his friends rich by exploiting those economic interests? I don't. |
You're getting it the wrong way round. If there were strategic and economic interests in Darfur then we would be doing something already. Think about Kuwait - why did the world so quickly unite and push Iraq out? You don't actually think it was because we like Kuwaitis more than the people of Darfur?
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| Posted by: lodgebo | |
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EUCLID said this in post #76 :
I think it would be irresponsible to risk people's lives to try to intervene in a conflict without knowing the motives of the warring parties.
Firstly do you think it responsabile to sit back and let people be murdered while we look for a motive. You say it would risk peoples lives well new flash for ya peoples lives are at risk.
Secondly 2 warring parties are you kidding the refugees have little or no weapons the AU troops that were in Sudan spent all thier time fighting the government troops who were armed.
If they are fighting over food, for example, we could maybe settle the conflict by giving them food. I want to know two things:
Well they are not fighting foor food or anything essenmtial put it that way
1) What is the motivation behind the genocide?
Without being rude you have the internet go look it up
2) Why is the press not reporting it?
Well I can't speak for the states but the press do report it normally every few months we hear how it's gettign worse and that world leaders are to busy sitting on thier asses to do anything - maybe looking for a motive.
For that matter, without knowing the motive behind the conflict, I don't see how anybody can conclude that it is genocide. |
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